Makerfield by-election: Wigan Today exit poll predicts who could win after polls close

The results are in!

The results of Wigan Today's exit poll are in and it predicts a win for Labour's Andy Burnham.

But only because the right wing has been split. Almost 4,000 readers took part in the confidential survey - thank you all! - and while this is no way scientifically watertight, it does seem to reflect what many pundits have been predicting.

Makerfield by-election count at The Edge, Wigan.   Ballot boxes arrive at The Edge, Wigan.placeholder image
Makerfield by-election count at The Edge, Wigan. Ballot boxes arrive at The Edge, Wigan. | National World

The poll shows Mr Burnham with 1,451 of the 3,956 votes cast, and Reform's Rob Kenyon polling 1,196.

However a late surge in popularity for the further-right Restore Britain candidate Rebecca Shepherd garners a further 512 votes.

Add the Reform and Restore figures together and they are more than Mr Burnham's total.

Here are the full exit poll results (poll closed at midnight):

Andy Burnham (Labour and Co-operative Party) - 1451

Rob Kenyon (Reform UK) - 1196

Rebecca Shepherd (Restore Britain) - 512

Count Binface (Count Binface Party) - 291

Sarah Wakefield (Green Party) - 106

Peter Ward (Rejoin EU Bring) - 101

Michael Winstanley (Conservative) - 98

Howling Laud Hope (Official Monster Raving Loony Party) - 96

Jake Austin (Liberal Democrats) - 34

Robert Pownall (independent) - 19

Ed Gemmell (Climate Party) - 18

John Dyer (independent) - 13

Dan Clarke (Libertarian Party) - 12

Paul Gould (independent) - 9

News you can trust since 1853
Follow us
© 2026 Iconic Media Group Ltd. All rights reserved.Cookie SettingsTerms and ConditionsPrivacy notice